|
Post by Zig on Jun 3, 2014 7:02:26 GMT -5
1. James Shields isn't going anywhere. He is doing what he does better than anybody not named Verlander: eating innings and mowing through hitters. Shields, 32, is well on pace for his eighth consecutive 200-inning season. Never has he spent a full year in the major leagues and not passed 200, just once has it been below 215, and he's on pace for another 226 2/3 this season. His 1,639 innings since 2007 rank third, behind the currently DL'd CC Sabathia and Justin Verlander, and not only do they give interested teams the confidence that a stretch-run acquisition won't break down, they similarly steel potential suitors this offseason to ponying up nine figures for his services. And that's what it's going to take. Workhorses with front-of-the-line stuff cost $100 million-plus in this market. Jon Lester will get it. Max Scherzer will get it. James Shields will get it. That is what a career of good health buys at a time when other pitchers' elbows are made of balsa wood. A sturdy arm like ... 2. David Price‘s will fetch even more than his former teammate on the trade market because Price isn't a free agent until after next season. And even though his fastball velocity is down, Price's peripherals say more about his performance this year than his mediocre ERA. In 84 1/3 innings, he has struck out 90 and walked nine. And while he has allowed a dozen home runs, that number should stabilize, as nothing about his stuff or location screams that his predilection for giving up homers is anything more than statistical noise. Which means that the sort of package the Tampa Bay Rays wanted for Price this offseason – multiple top-end, major league-ready or close prospects, plus high-end, low-level talent – remains in play. Unlike Moore, Rays GM Andrew Friedman is decidedly honest with himself and understands cut-bait time. He's not there yet, either – probably because the Rays are more talented than the Royals – but if a month from now Tampa Bay still owns the worst record in the American League like it does today, the Price sweepstakes may well cut into Shields' market, something of which Moore must be cognizant. It's one of the reasons ... the rest here: sports.yahoo.com/news/10-degrees--who-should-be-traded-and-why-they-have-to-go-143046764.html
|
|
|
Post by Zig on Jun 9, 2014 8:37:42 GMT -5
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2014 8:48:25 GMT -5
Can we trade everybody in our starting lineup except Freeman?
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2014 8:52:37 GMT -5
Can't see the list. I tried to compile a list myself. The major problem is that there are only 7 clear sellers right now: Phillies, Rays, Astros, DBacks, Padres, Cubs and the Mets. By all rights the Red Sox should be in this list too but I doubt if a team coming off of a championship would throw in the towel just 62 games into the season.
|
|
|
Post by Zig on Jun 9, 2014 8:56:13 GMT -5
The trade season has begun. Once the draft concludes, which it did Saturday, clubs shift their scouts and focus to the July 31 non-waiver deadline. And you just might have more teams than ever looking to buy. For going into the weekend, 25 of 30 clubs either were in playoff position or within four games of one. Obviously, this will clarify over the following weeks as pretenders become more evident. But there is a paucity of both excellent and dreadful teams. The middle has swelled. Just about any club that runs off eight wins in 10 games is going to think it is in prime playoff position. Combine that with the second wild card, and not too many organizations are going to collapse out of contention. Thus, the value of acting quickly — finding those extra few wins that could be the difference between reaching the postseason or falling short — should serve as an impetus to act boldly. The Marlins already have seen the potential to contend and responded by addressing their worrisome set-up situation by trading the 39th pick in the draft for Pittsburgh’s Bryan Morris and also signing Kevin Gregg. Selling teams usually hold off until July — late July at that. No one wants to admit surrender to themselves or their fan bases. But sellers should consider this checklist: 1) Making a player available for more games should, in theory, deliver a larger return — for example, a pitcher obtained now could start approximately 20 more times this year, compared to the 12 or so if obtained in late July; 2) The longer you hold a property, the more risk there is of injury; 3) There will not be 24 or 25 teams that have playoff dreams in late July. More sellers equal larger inventories resulting, potentially, in smaller returns. Still, history suggests not much will happen for a while. The names that will stir the most interest are high-end starters such as the Rays’ David Price and the Cubs’ Jeff Samardzija. But with pitching dominating, just about every contender will be hunting bats, so here are thoughts on five who could (should) be available: Modal Trigger Photo: AP
Chase Utley, Phillies: No organization has to do more of a toe touch with reality than Philadelphia. The 2007-11 run is arguably the best five-year stretch in franchise history. But it is over, and trying to rekindle it by augmenting around the aging core has been doubling down on a terrible idea. The Phillies began the weekend with the NL’s worst record and the majors’ worst run differential. The Phils fret a sell-off will disenchant their fans, but the locals are not going to come watch this. The other hindrance to a for-sale sign is whether the Phillies’ top brass will permit the architect of this problematic roster, general manager Ruben Amaro, to make the rebuild trades when his status is so tenuous. In 2012, the Phillies white-flagged it, dealing Hunter Pence, Shane Victorino and Joe Blanton and have pretty much nothing to show for it yet, so they must do better this time. Ryan Howard — for physical and financial (owed $60 million between 2015-16) reasons — is all but untradeable. Cliff Lee is not close to returning from an elbow strain and is owed $37.5 million next year if his 2016 option does not vest or $52.5 million for 2015-16 if it does. A.J. Burnett is expensive and old. Marlon Byrd is signed through next year. Jimmy Rollins has an $11 million option for 2015 that almost certainly will vest. Jonathan Papelbon is signed through next year with a vesting option for 2016. Carlos Ruiz still is an effective catcher but is 35 and signed through 2016, and Cole Hamels has pitched well for the last month, but he signed for huge money through 2018. All but Hamels should be traded for the best return possible, and Hamels should at least be in the market to gauge his value. To me, Utley is the prize. The Phillies, in particular, don’t want to give him up because of his local popularity. But rebuilding clubs should trade 35-year-olds performing well who could get big returns. Utley has age on him and has cooled off after a torrid start. But he makes just $10 million next year, and the way his 2016-18 options are structured, they really protect the team should his knee issues recur. His reputation is as a gamer, so he would be in demand. Know this: When the Yankees realized Robinson Cano was leaving last offseason, they called the Phils on Utley. Put him on either Bay Area team — the A’s or Giants — and I think that club is the World Series favorite. The same might be said if the Cardinals got him. Modal Trigger Photo: Getty Images
Matt Kemp, Dodgers: The problems are abundant. He has five years at $107 million left after this season. He has yet to show he is over knee and shoulder problems. And he just might be a malcontent. If you are obtaining him it is because: 1) He is just 29; 2) As recently as 2011-12, before the injuries, he was arguably the best player in the game; 3) The Dodgers have such dysfunction with their overcrowded outfield that they almost certainly will take a bad contract and/or eat big money to move Kemp. Is it a gamble worth taking for Seattle to see if Kemp can protect Cano? How about the Mets or the outfield-desperate Red Sox? Modal Trigger Photo: AP
Carlos Gonzalez, Rockies: He is currently on the disabled list with left index finger inflammation. There is no hiding the disparity between his success at Coors Field (.960 OPS this year) and failure away from home (.610). But he is 28 with tremendous power and is signed reasonably from 2015-17 (three years at $43 million). At a time when the Rockies have young talent present and coming, here is a chance to get more and ease the pressure on future payrolls that are nearing if they keep both CarGo and Troy Tulowitzki. Does Rafael Montero, Steven Matz and Dilson Herrera get it done for the Mets? Does a deal built around Mookie Betts and Allen Webster do it for the Red Sox? Modal Trigger Photo: Getty Images
Alexei Ramirez, White Sox: Chicago has played better than expected. But it still needs more pieces and should capitalize now on Ramirez’s best season and continue the rebuild. There are multiple teams — such as the Tigers, Pirates, Mariners, Mets and possibly even the Yanks (play him at short/third this year and have him replace Derek Jeter next year) — who would boost 2014 playoff chances with Ramirez. Plus, he is signed through next year with a reasonable ($10 million) option for 2016. Modal Trigger Photo: Paul J. Bereswill
Ben Zobrist, Rays: Tampa Bay manager Joe Maddon insists his team has a run in it, and the Rays’ pedigree and out-of-nowhere surge to the playoffs in 2011 will encourage. But the reality is the Rays began the weekend with the majors’ worst record, and they have among the most decisive front offices in the game. Once they decide they are not in it, they will act aggressively to move their pieces. Obviously, everyone has eyes on Price. But Zobrist could be a valuable piece for a contender. His offense might be down a notch. Nevertheless, he is a switch-hitter who works counts and, at a time when injury is devastating just about every team, Zobrist has started at every position on the diamond except catcher and pitcher. Plus, he has an affordable $7 million option for 2015. He is pretty much the perfect A’s player — versatile and patient, who could help address the soft spot in their lineup at second base.
|
|
|
Post by Zig on Jun 9, 2014 8:56:45 GMT -5
Can't see the list. I tried to compile a list myself. The major problem is that there are only 7 clear sellers right now: Phillies, Rays, Astros, DBacks, Padres, Cubs and the Mets. By all rights the Red Sox should be in this list too but I doubt if a team coming off of a championship would throw in the towel just 62 games into the season. just posted the article
|
|
|
Post by BHR on Jun 9, 2014 9:00:18 GMT -5
Lets get to the ASB and then sort the buyers from sellers. Alot can still happen between now and then.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2014 10:01:36 GMT -5
Lets get to the ASB and then sort the buyers from sellers. Alot can still happen between now and then. Early bird gets the worm. There aren't too many teams that can afford to wait until the ASB. Maye Oakland and San Francisco. That's about it. B ut if the other teams in contention get a sense that a team like Tampa or Philadelphia is going into fire sale mode, they can't afford to wait until the end of July or there will be slim pickings.
|
|